Bet On Democratic Nominee

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The calendar just flipped to 2019, so you know what that means: We are less than 2 years away from another presidential election. While it may feel as though the build-up to the 2016 election was only yesterday, I regret to inform you that it is about time to ramp things up and start the merry-go-round all over again.

The 2016 election was ugly. Noted television star Donald Trump came out of nowhere to lay waste to the Republican field of candidates on his way to earning the party’s nomination in shocking fashion.

Pundits literally laughed off Trump’s chances of eventually becoming president, but he used his populist message effectively enough to turn a few blue states red on election night. In the end, that was enough for him to dispose of Hillary Clinton and become the 45th President of the United States.

So, here we are. Trump’s first term is about to hit the 2-year mark, and he has already been putting together a campaign with an eye toward reelection in 2020.

There have been murmurs regarding potential presidential opposition from within his own party, but anyone other than Trump becoming the Republican nominee next year would be a pretty massive surprise at this point.

Considering how divisive Trump’s time in office has been, the field of 2020 presidential nominees on the Democratic side was always going to be a large one.

The Democrats successfully flipped the House of Representatives in their favor with a “blue wave” win in the 2018 midterms, and the party is optimistic at their chances of regaining control of the White House next time around.

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren has not officially declared her candidacy, but she has put together a group with plans to “explore” a run. The Senator has already visited the key state of Iowa, and you can bet it won’t be long until she turns up in New Hampshire.

Former Vice President Joe Biden is also reportedly seriously considering a run, as is Vermont Senator and 2016 Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders.

You can bet on anything through GamblingSites.org these days, and politics are no exception. MyBookie has betting odds posted regarding who will win the Democratic party’s nomination for the ‘20 election.

As you may expect, there are tons of names on the list. Let’s dive into some of the potential favorites and try to identify some profitable betting value, shall we?

Odds to Win Democratic Presidential Nomination

• Kamala Harris +500
• Beto O’Rourke +600
• Elizabeth Warren +800
• Joe Biden +1000
• Bernie Sanders +1000
• Kirsten Gillibrand +1600
• Cory Booker +1600
• Michael Bloomberg +1600
• Tulsi Gabbard +1600
• Amy Klobuchar +2000
• Sherrod Brown +2000
• Oprah Winfrey +2500
• John Hickenlooper +3300
• Eric Garcetti +3300
• Michelle Obama +3300
• Hillary Clinton +3300
• Michael Avenatti +3300
• Howard Schultz +5000
• Tom Steyer +5000
• Gavin Newsom +5000
• Joe Kennedy III +5000
• John Kerry +5000
• Julian Castro +5000

There are more names listed, but you get the idea. It’s highly unlikely all of the folks listed above throw their names into the ring, but we have at least heard rumors regarding potential runs from all of them. A couple of names I’m happy to cross off the list immediately are Hillary Clinton and Michael Avenatti.

Clinton would be insane to run again, and the Democratic Party would be committing party suicide by nominating her again. She proved to be an ineffective foil to Trump, and she’s already had her chance. A new candidate is needed if the Democrats are serious about beating Trump. So, pass on Clinton at +3300.

Another name to cross off is Michael Avenatti. Avenatti gained fame as the attorney to adult film star Stormy Daniels, who allegedly had an affair with Trump. Avenatti routinely made the rounds on cable news promoting Daniels’ case, but late last year he was arrested on domestic violence charges.

Avenatti was already a divisive character to begin with, and he often drew comparisons to Trump considering his brash temperament. I think it’s safe to say we won’t be hearing too much about Avenatti once candidates start announcing their runs as the year progresses, so pass on him at +3300, too.

Tulsi Gabbard and Amy Klobuchar are popular names among progressives, but neither has really gone public regarding any desire to make a run for the Oval Office. That could always change over the next few months, but I’m going to go ahead and write off Gabbard and Klobuchar as betting options, too.

Celebrity Row

I didn’t bother to list them all above, but people like Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, Al Franken, Mark Zuckerberg, Mark Cuban and George Clooney are also listed as potential 2020 candidates.

Trump proved in 2016 that experience in politics isn’t exactly a requirement when it comes to running for the highest office in the land, but there are enough red flags with most of these other celebrities to where I seriously doubt any of them will make a serious bid.

Zuckerberg, the founder and CEO of Facebook, has been enduring a public relations nightmare since the 2016 election for his company’s participation in “fake news.” Zuckerberg has remained defiant, but his reputation has taken too much of a hit for him to be considered as a realistic candidate.

The same can be said of Cuban, the billionaire owner of the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks. Cuban has remained outspoken regarding political matters, but the Mavericks’ organization was just embroiled in a high-profile sexual harassment controversy.

Cuban claims to have known nothing about the rampant abuse that was going on in the team’s workplace, but that’s still something that could easily kill any potential candidacy. Cuban has toyed with a run in the past, but at this point it’s hard to imagine it coming to fruition. At least this time around.

Al Franken was forced to resign from the Senate amid his own sexual harassment allegations. He would have been a popular choice for 2020 among Democrats had that not occurred, but the Democrats would be wise to put forth a nominee without that kind of baggage.

While Franken, who used to work as a writer for Saturday Night Live, would be an entertaining opponent for Trump, it’s not happening.

Harris the Frontrunner

Interestingly enough, MyBookie has California Senator Kamala Harris as the early betting favorite (+500) to win the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination next year. Harris has not yet officially announced her candidacy, but all indications suggest that she is giving it serious consideration.

Harris is considering “a collection of factors” when pondering a 2020 run. Her status as an African-American woman would obviously immediately set Harris apart from Trump, and those are definitely traits that could help her separate herself from the field of Democrats, too.

A recent poll asked women of color involved in politics to rank their top-3 2020 contenders, and Harris appeared on a whopping 71 percent of the ballots. Harris previously served as California’s attorney general before joining the U.S. Senate, and she has already advocated for Medicare-for-all, free college and criminal justice reform.

Harris sounds like a candidate willing to push for left-leaning policies progressive voters support, so it’s hard not to like her chances here.

You won’t often get the favorite at such favorable odds, so I’d be all over betting on Harris here.

Establishment Biden

Biden reportedly considered running in 2016, but the death of his son, Beau, complicated matters. Biden took time away to mourn rather than diving into a heated presidential race. The former VP has since said that he regrets not running in ‘16, but he is reportedly leaning toward giving it another go this time around.

Did Biden miss his chance? It’s certainly possible. The 2020 field is going to be far deeper on the Democratic side than the 2016 field was, as most got out of the way for Clinton 2-plus years ago. Biden’s popularity was never going to be higher than it was when he left office, so it’s fair to wonder whether he’ll be able to recapture that kind of enthusiasm now that he’s been out of the spotlight for over 2 years.

If Biden jumps in, he is expected to be the frontrunner. Obviously, that’s a dangerous place to be. Let’s not forget that Jeb Bush was the Republican frontrunner in 2016 before he got absolutely blown out of the water by Trump. If Biden decides to throw his hat into the ring, other candidates will be gunning for him.

With the Democratic party leaning more and more left, I’m not sure a centrist candidate like Biden will be able to survive. He’ll still get plenty of support as a recognizable face from the previous administration, but I’m getting the feeling Biden will eventually get overtaken by a number of other candidates.

Warren & Sanders

Bernie Sanders was ultimately beaten by Hillary Clinton in 2016, but the self-proclaimed Democratic Socialist from Vermont made his presence felt before bowing out. Sanders’ grassroots campaign refused to take money from political action committees (PACs) and his healthcare-for-all campaign promise eventually forced Clinton to move a bit more left, policy-wise.

Democratic Nominee Standings

A number of candidates have since embraced Sanders’ ideas, which makes him a less unique candidate than he was in 2016. Let’s not forget that Sanders is already 77.

Trump was the oldest president to ever take office at 70 when he did so in January of 2017. Like it or not, age is something voters have to consider. Sanders is vibrant, but the fact that he will be pushing 80 by the time he would take office would be a concern to plenty. This is something Biden would have to contend with, too.

It sounds as though Sanders is willing to give the White House another run in 2020, which will be fascinating. Sanders’ loss to Clinton in 2016 was controversial, but I think he’s going to have a more difficult time separating himself from a more crowded field in the upcoming election.

Bernie will still get plenty of support, but he may lag behind more youthful candidates like Kamala Harris or Beto O’Rourke.

Warren is similar to Sanders in that she’s a progressive that is getting up there in age. She was a popular anti-Trump voice in 2016, but the public opinion on her may have changed since.

Warren made the questionable decision to release the results of a DNA test claiming evidence of her Native American heritage late last year. That move drew a collective eye-roll from the masses, and it’s something she’s going to have to continue to defend moving forward.

Warren definitely has a chance, though, and I like her odds of winning the nomination slightly more than Sanders’. The fact that she’s a woman can’t hurt, either.

Beto Looming

A year ago at this time, not many people were aware of Beto O’Rourke. O’Rourke was a member of the House of Representatives representing El Paso, Texas, before he ultimately decided to challenge incumbent Texas Senator Ted Cruz for his seat this past fall.

O’Rourke gained national fame after running an aggressive campaign all over the state before ultimately falling at the hands of Cruz by a slim margin in November.

O’Rourke’s loss to Cruz wasn’t a total surprise considering the fact that Texas has long been a red state. The demographics are starting to shift, but O’Rourke was ultimately unable to garner enough support. Some believe he will challenge Texas’ other Senator, John Cornyn, when he’s up for reelection in a few years, but could O’Rourke have his eye on a bigger goal?

O’Rourke has drawn plenty of comparisons to Barack Obama for his youthful exuberance and his speech pattern. O’Rourke managed to raise a whopping $60 million for his Senate campaign, but he’s going to have to put forth firm policy ideas if he has serious aspirations of separating himself from the rest of the Democratic field in 2020.

O’Rourke’s voting record during his time of Congress has been the subject of some scrutiny, and whether he’s left-leaning enough to represent the Democratic Party on a national scale remains to be seen. He touted himself as a Texas liberal, but is he liberal enough to galvanize voters from all over the country?

If he runs, O’Rourke will skyrocket toward the list of frontrunners, so I think it would be downright reckless to write off his chances here. He’s the second-favorite right behind Harris from a betting perspective, so I have no problem betting on Beto to eventually earn the Democratic nomination.

Any prospective Democratic candidate is going to have to move a bit to the left if they want to win this nomination. I think Beto is still green enough in the world of politics to where he can be somewhat malleable from a policy perspective. Even someone like Barack Obama eventually came around on issues like same-sex marriage after pressure from within his own party.

Conclusion

How the 2020 field of presidential nominees shakes out is sure to be fascinating. Some are already prepared to give the White House a run, while a host of others are sure to follow suit. Will some billionaires look to follow in Trump’s footsteps? Oprah, Tom Steyer and Michael Bloomberg have been linked with runs already.

I don’t think any of the 3 stands much of a chance, but if some of them do wind up running it will be interesting to see how they play with the Democratic base of voters.

Steyer has been airing television ads for the last several years calling for Trump’s impeachment.

Bloomberg was formerly the mayor of New York City, while you know Oprah’s deal by now. Winfrey has rebuffed any ideas regarding a serious run, while Bloomberg and Steyer sound like more serious candidates. Bloomberg stands the best chance to actually win, but I think he would still be a fringe contender at best at +1600.

Could a new candidate show up and throw things for a loop? Absolutely. Few knew who Bernie Sanders was at this time 4 years ago, and now he’s a household name in American politics. We haven’t heard the last of Bernie, of course. I expect him to run, and I think his chief challengers will eventually be Harris, Warren, O’Rourke and Biden.

That core of 5 looks to be leading the way. If you’re betting, I think the smart money is on Kamala Harris at +500. Beto O’Rourke would be the next-most likely candidate at +600, while I like Warren (+800) slightly over Sanders (+1000). I think Biden (+1000) will be the odd-man out, and I would be somewhat shocked if he is the one that eventually earns the nod as nominee.

That said, an awful lot is going to happen between now and the Democratic National Convention in the summer of 2020. The race for the White House is about to heat up, so I’d jump on betting values like Harris and O’Rourke while you can still get them with solid profit potential.

I’ll rank the likely 2020 Democratic presidential nominees as follows:

1. Kamala Harris +500
2. Beto O’Rourke +600
3. Elizabeth Warren +800
4. Bernie Sanders +1000
5. Joe Biden +1000

Odds on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election according toBovada Sportsbook

Updated on February 20, 2021

US Presidential Election 2024 - Democratic Candidate
Kamala Harris +200
Joe Biden +225
Elizabeth Warren +1200
Stacey Abrams +1200
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1400
Michelle Obama +1400
Andrew Yang +1600
Bernie Sanders +1600
Andrew Cuomo +1600
Pete Buttigieg +1600
Michael Bennet +2000
Michael Bloomberg +2000
Amy Klobuchar +2500
Cory Booker +2500
Gretchen Whitmer +2500
Beto O'Rourke +3000
Deval Patrick +3500
Sherrod Brown +3500
Tulsi Gabbard +3500
Val Demmings +4000
Hillary Clinton +5000
Kirsten Gillibrand +10000
Tammy Baldwin +10000
Tammy Duckworth +10000

Bet on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election Odds at Bovada Sportsbook

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Odds on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election according toBovada Sportsbook

Updated on January 5, 2021

US Presidential Election 2024 - Democratic Candidate
Joe Biden +250
Kamala Harris +300
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1000
Michelle Obama +1200
Elizabeth Warren +1200
Stacey Abrams +1200
Andrew Yang +1600
Bernie Sanders +1600
Andrew Cuomo +1600
Pete Buttigieg +1600
Beto O'Rourke +2000
Michael Bennet +2000
Michael Bloomberg +2000
Amy Klobuchar +2500
Cory Booker +2500
Gretchen Whitmer +2500
Deval Patrick +3500
Sherrod Brown +3500
Tulsi Gabbard +3500
Val Demmings +4000
Hillary Clinton +5000
Kirsten Gillibrand +10000
Tammy Baldwin +10000
Tammy Duckworth +10000

Odds on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election according toBovada Sportsbook

Updated on November 13, 2020

Democratic Nominee Delegate Count

US Presidential Election 2024 - Democratic Candidate
Kamala Harris +300
Joe Biden +500
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +600
Andrew Yang +800
Michelle Obama +1000
Beto O'Rourke +1000
Elizabeth Warren +1200
Bernie Sanders +1200
Andrew Cuomo +1200
Stacey Abrams +1200
Pete Buttigieg +1500
Michael Bennet +2000
Michael Bloomberg +2000
Amy Klobuchar +2500
Cory Booker +2500
Gretchen Whitmer +2500
Deval Patrick +3500
Sherrod Brown +3500
Tulsi Gabbard +3500
Val Demmings +4000
Hillary Clinton +5000
Kirsten Gillibrand +10000
Tammy Baldwin +10000
Tammy Duckworth +10000

Odds on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election according toBovada Sportsbook

Updated on August 20, 2020

US Presidential Election 2024 - Democratic Candidate
Joe Biden +300
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +300
Kamala Harris +350
Elizabeth Warren +800
Bernie Sanders +1000
Michelle Obama +1000
Andrew Cuomo +1200
Pete Buttigieg +1500
Michael Bennet +2000

Biden Is The Democratic Nominee

Bet on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election Odds at Bovada Sportsbook

Bet On Democrat Nominee