Chase Betting System
Making money betting on sports can be tough, but there are a lot of sports bettors who consistently win, and there are even a lot of professional bettors who make a good living off of sports betting. On this page you will find sports betting strategy and tips to help you become one of the winning bettors.
- Mlb Chase Betting System
- Baseball Chase Betting Systems
- Chase Betting Systems
- Free Sports Betting Systems
- Nhl Chase Betting Systems
Chase Betting: a Different Way to Bet Baseball
by Robert Ferringo
I think I have a threshold for psychological pain beyond that of a member of the general populace. I can stomach five straight hours of 'Grey's Anatomy' on DVD with the wife. Screaming kids on the subway don't' rattle me. Watching midgets molest a Shetland pony at a frat party doesn't get my pulse up. But one thing that I simply don't have the stomach for is chase betting.
I mean, I consider myself a pretty levelheaded gambler, one that can keep it together right before the point of impact. But you have to have balls the size of Condoleezza Rice's to get involved with chase betting. For those of you that don't know what that is, 'chase betting' is a specific style and theory of wagering that can be successful and profitable if performed with discipline and diligence. However, there is a chance that things can go horribly wrong - like Year Two of Terrell Owens in Philly wrong - and even when things go right it's tough to maintain your composure.
The best way to explain chase betting is to give an example. Let's say that we decided to 'chase' a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs and Washington Nationals. Generally, we would be 'chasing' the Nationals because we know that they're going to be underdogs for all three games. It is possible to 'chase' the favorite in a series, but the math is more complicated.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) ('JPMorgan Chase' or the 'Firm') has filed its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020 with the SEC. The report is available on the. Does Chase Betting Actually Work? Chasing betting systems are a controversial tactic in sports betting. Of all the debates over Avoid Chase Betting Systems Read More ». The chase system is based upon the premise that you should not be able to incorrectly handicap a game for seven days in a row. If you are betting $100.00 per event in a chase system, and are incorrect 7.
The goal here is one win out of the Nationals in the three games that these teams are going to play. That's it. That's all we need: one win. It's called a 'chase' because you're chasing one victory. And because Washington will be getting plus-money as a dog in each contest we're guaranteed a profit as long as we price our bets properly.
We would bet, say, $100 on the Nationals at +135 in Game 1. If Washington wins we collect our $135; the 'chase' is over and we wait for the next series. If the Nationals lose we then bet $100 on them again in Game 2 at +145 (I'm just making up odds). Again, if the Nationals win then we collect $145, the 'chase' is over, and we turned a $45 profit for the series ($145 won in Game 2 minus the $100 we lost in Game 1).
But here's where the chase gets interesting: if you lose the first two games of the chase your next bet should be double what you've lost on those wagers in Game 3. So if the Nationals are +130 in Game 3 you would bet $200 - equal to what you've lost on the first two games combined - on Washington. If they win and avoid the sweep then you collect $240. After deducting your losses from the first two games that would leave you with a profit of $40 for the series and you move on to the next one.
In theory, this is a solid betting strategy that requires the cool of Sinatra and the discipline of the Ayatollah. Baseball is tailor made for this type of betting because of the length of series and frequency of games each week. Even the worst teams in the league win 60 games (a .370 winning percentage) and that ratio is even better than the one-out-of-three that we need for this program to work. If you can add some filters and anticipate series where the inferior team can manage to avoid getting swept then you stand to make a healthy profit.
However, there aren't too many bettors I know that aim to win just 40 percent of their wagers. The constant losing would crack most amateur gamblers and the prospect of doubling down on Matt Chico against Carlos Zambrano could be enough to force a commoner to weep and/or wet himself.
Obviously, the Sweep is the mortal enemy of the series chase. At the All-Star break roughly 10 percent of all series ended with one team failing to win a single game. With our system, at that rate, if you can average just $50 per winning series you can turn a profit. It's not much, but over the course of a season it all adds up.
If a Sweep is the archrival of chase betting than Game 1 wins are its soul mate. A win in the opener of a series where one team will be a dog for all three games is worth over +100 and keeps you worry-free as you move onto the next set. Game 3 wins are the next best thing from a mathematical standpoint if not a psychological one. Since you're betting $200 as opposed to $100 you double up on the plus-money that you earn. For example, a $100 bet at +135 in one of the first two games nets a $35 profit but that same bet in Game 3 picks up $270 and thus a $70 profit.
I know, I know: the math here is dizzying and boring. But the bottom line is that if you find a series where one team will be an underdog for all three games and they are playing a shaky team that's bound to have one weak performance then it's a solid strategy. Teams like the Yankees and Cubs, for example, are frequently overvalued yet don't produce sweeps at a rate beyond the norm for Major League teams. Clubs like the Indians and Brewers aren't great fielding squads or have leaky bullpens, which makes them susceptible to getting upset once or twice.
Conversely, don't feel like you only have to chase bottom feeders like Washington and Kansas City because they're the only clubs guaranteed to be dogs for three straight in a majority of their series. A perfect example of a prime spot to chase was the Florida-Los Angeles Dodgers series right before the break. The Marlins were going to be posted as dogs in all three games because of the pitching match-ups, yet they actually won twice in Chavez Ravine. Several factors - pitching match-ups, recent performance and injuries - can lead to a situation where two average or above average teams meet up and one of them is a dog for all three games. These are the prime spots for a chase system to be victorious.
While I can be considered a proponent of chase betting - in a limited capacity and only with baseball - there isn't a consensus about its validity (or lack thereof) within the handicapping community. To some it's a way for things to go real bad, real quick. For other's it's simply a mathematical formula that can be used to turn a profit.
Mlb Chase Betting System
'Chasing in any sport is dangerous,' said a member of Vegas Sports Informer. 'But I think chasing in MLB is probably the worst because you can easily be in the negative in a couple of days.'
'I think chase betting can work,' said a member of Strike Point Sports. 'However, I think this is a particular system that will only function well in the middle or latter part of the season. I say this because it's good to figure out where teams sit and learn how to play them. But certainly we see series every week with teams, such as the Yankees, that don't deserve to be heavy favorites or favored at all. So it does take precise skill to pick out which situations warrant this type of play.'
No system should be bet blindly, and chase betting is no different. There are filters that can be used to select the most potentially profitable series and to avoid ones with an above average chance for a sweep. But in the end, series chases can be successful if you obey strict discipline, are calculating in picking your spots, and give yourself a long enough time span for this to earn.
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The National Hockey League (NHL) is the cream of the crop when it comes to ice hockey anywhere in the world. Originally started up North, the sport has spread like wildfire…or more like something cold that spreads fast. The NHL now has fans in all corners of the US as well as all corners of the globe. With this popularity, you can understand why the NHL is a favorite amongst sports bettors. The action is fast-paced, and if you know what you’re doing, you can stand to make a lot of money.
In this guide, we’re going to walk you through the ins and outs of NHL betting strategy. We’ll give you the tips and the tools that you need to dominate the books. With some hard work, research, and our strategies, you’re going to be well on your way to cashing in big if you can put it all together. Without any further delay, let’s get into the strategy.
The Importance of Travel Schedules
Often overlooked in most sports are the travel schedules of each team. While this is important in all sports, it becomes much more important in a physically demanding sport like ice hockey. It’s a game where your body is beaten up, bruised, and pounded night after night. If you don’t think this is going to have a toll on performance, you’re living in a fantasy world.
Obviously, all teams go through the same punishment. If that’s the case, then is it just a wash because everyone goes through it? The answer might seem like a yes, but in reality, it’s a no. Imagine if you played two home games in a week versus playing four road games in a week? Which team is going to be the freshest for that next game? You can bet your bottom dollar that the team with fewer games and at home is going to be much more physically prepared for the next game.
So, what should you be looking for and how do you apply this? Well, you should be looking for teams that you think are going to be suffering from excessive fatigue and look to see if there is a good line to bet against them. Remember, just because a team is tired or on a long road trip does not mean they are destined to lose. All it means is that they are not going to be as fresh which could impact speed, power, focus, and overall performance.
You also want to make sure that you look at how far teams have to travel. If they’re bouncing all over the country, you can bet that their sleep and recovery are going to be hindered. They may be professional athletes, but they’re also still human.
The best advice we can give you with this is to take it into account but don’t let it dominate your strategy too aggressively. It’s important, but it doesn’t mean that just because a team has had a lot of travel, they are suddenly going to turn into lame ducks. We like to use this when a line is close, and we’re on the fence about a bet. If this backs up our bet, it makes us a lot more confident with what we’re betting on. If it’s contradictory, we may shy away from the bet that we were on the fence on.
Baseball Chase Betting Systems
Overvaluing Statistics
Serious sports bettors savor statistics. However, the problem with savoring something too much is you start to salivate and look like a fool. What are we trying to say so mystically? We’re trying to say that statistics are extremely important when making your picks, but you need to be careful that you don’t overvalue the wrong statistics. Let’s break this down into a few individual things to look for.
Chase Betting Systems
Accuracy of Statistics
The absolute most important thing that you have to check when working with statistics is whether or not they are accurate. Now, we are not saying that every number you get off the web you have to take out your calculator and check it out. What you can do instead is make sure to get your data from a reputable source. There are plenty of data sites out there that you can use that pride themselves on their accuracy.
We highly recommend using one of these sites or using something like ESPN for your numbers. Even then, you should still spot check a few of the numbers just in case. Make sure that someone somewhere isn’t about to lose their job for making a terrible stats error. You won’t be able to get your bets reversed by a sportsbook by telling them that you accidentally used bad stats.
Stats that Matter
You’ve got to use your noggin and make sure that you are only using statistics that mean something. There are a lot of stats that sound great on Sportscenter, but don’t mean much when it comes to betting. It’s entertaining to hear that a certain team hasn’t beaten the other team when they play on Thursdays for the last 12 years.
Does this actually have anything to do with how good either team is? It certainly does not. Unless they were the exact same teams every year and there is something special about Thursdays (like they make them play in different types of skates), then this stat is worthless. You’d be amazed at how many bettors love to latch onto these “fun facts” and end up convincing themselves to make a bet they otherwise wouldn’t.
Make sure that a stat is useful before you try and use it. How do you know if it’s useful? Ask yourself if the stat will have a direct effect on the game. How many goals the goalie has allowed on average that year? Great stat. How the teams did in their last five meetings right before they got a bunch of new players? Probably not so great. We know you’re smart kids. You just have to take a few minutes and assess the stat and decide how to proceed.
Line Matchups
Ice hockey is a game that is played in lines. A line is a group of players that are sent onto the ice together at the same time. The lines can be changed throughout the game and will match up against the different lines of the opposing team. Why is this important? Well, to understand how well a team is going to perform, you need to understand how their different lines work together. You also need to understand how their lines are going to match up against the opposing team’s lines.
You’re looking for line matchups that are going to create favorable scoring opportunities. This sort of analysis allows you to go deeper into the team’s roster and find the situations where potential goals are possible.
Looking for Value
While the rest of these strategies and tips are important, they all pale in comparison to this tip. Calling this a tip might even be doing it an injustice. This is actually the basis of all successful sports betting. The secret to winning long-term is being able to identify bets that have value. Sometimes this will mean betting on teams that you think are going to lose and sometimes it means passing on betting on teams that you think are going to win.
The concept can be tough to wrap your head around initially but once you do you will officially be on another level. Sports betting and NHL betting have nothing to do with what your win-loss record is. They have everything to do with what your return on investment in. Basically, you can have a “losing” record and still be crushing your bets and making a ton of money. On the flip side, you could have a “winning” record and be losing money and be a terrible sports bettor.
Free Sports Betting Systems
This is a concept that you MUST understand before you plan to go any further. To help you out, we’ve put together a fully dedicated sports betting guide on how to find value in your bets. It’s intensive, but it’s crucial to your success in the industry.
Putting it All Together
You’ve now got all of the tools you need to get started building out your winning NHL betting strategy. Are these all the things you should be looking at when you bet? No. What we were aiming to do here is give you an idea of where your mind should be going when you’re looking to place an NHL bet. These are the same things that our team of experts uses on a daily basis to make their picks. Mix these strategies with hard work and effective research, and you’re on your way to being a profitable NHL bettor.
Nhl Chase Betting Systems
Remember, at the end of the day that all of these strategies revolve around finding value in all of your bets. If you can successfully find value, you’re going to be making a lot of money every NHL season.