Over Under Strategy

Handicapping Tips: OVER/UNDER Strategy As a sports bettor, you need to do some homework. Don’t worry, it’s not as intense as anything you had to do in high school – you’re simply handicapping your totals bets enough to make smart picks. Over/Under Betting Strategy As far as over/under strategy goes, there’s no one size fits all kind of deal. It all depends on the amount of time and money you’re willing to dedicate to betting, and your current knowledge about the league, competition, and sport you’re going to bet on. Over/Under 2.5 Goals System: Beginner's System. By Tony Robinson. Foreword If there is one thing I know, it's making good money as a punter. I've been in this tax free business for some years now and I've only ever restricted myself to betting on two different sports, namely Horse Racing and Football. The reason I've done this is simple. The Over Under betting strategy is a simple and easy system that you can use with confidence over a wide variety of ball-orientated sports. Technically part of the 2 Way bet family, Over / Under bets, as the name implies, works on predicting a score line that is. BINARY TRADING STRATEGY is a chanel that discuss a collection of tricks, techniques, tips, and strategy type of broker binary.com and iq option.

There are many different betting styles and strategies that punters could use while betting. However, not all betting styles may be suitable for every punter. As a beginner, you may not be well familiar with the Martingale betting strategy. Also, betting experts do not suggest live betting for beginners. However, you can try over/under betting strategy as a beginner.

Over/under betting is also referred to as Total bets. In this case, you don’t have to take the side of any particular team/player for betting. Your bet should be set at the prediction of whether the score will be higher or lower than the set target. The target is generally set by the bookmaker. If your predicted score is higher/lower than the real score, and the actual score turns out to be so, you can win.

Now, you may ask as to why this betting strategy is good for beginners. Well, firstly, you do not need to select a specific team here but go for an outright total score. Plus, you do not set a specific target but bet over or under the target. This makes this strategy an easy bet.

Let’s take an example. The threshold value of a particular game is 170. If the entire score of both teams is above 170, the gambler calling over, wins. On the other hand, if the total score falls below 170, the gambler who bet below the score is not going to win. But there are certain parameters on the basis of which you can bet which is based on the sports. For example, cricket sites allow you to bet on the basis of scores or runs. While other sport sites allow you to bet on other parameters. Like fouls and penalties (for soccer), eagle or birdies (for golf), etc. Therefore countable entities are taken for consideration.

Sports On Which This Strategy Works

There are various sports on which you can gamble. There are- Cricket, Hockey, Golf, Boxing, Football, Rugby, Snooker, NHL, etc. Apart from the gaming strategy, you should take other things into consideration. Weather conditions, pitch (for cricket), player form, are a few of them. So, like many other betting strategies, you should also analyze the game as well. Critically examine all the possible areas of the game before arriving at a decision. You should also select the right kinds of games. There are popular markets where you can play over/under bets. Namely- Over/Under X throw-ins, Over/Under X wickets, Over/Under X corners, etc.

There can also be a case if the game moves to overtime. However, it is the main score that matters. If the final score turns out to be over/under as per your choice, you shall get the win. Generally, the threshold score is a decimal unit. In the oddest possibility, the gamblers predict the score to be a whole number. But that hardly affects the gamblers to win.

You have to also look at the odds before opting for a bet. There are two fold functions of odds- a) payout calculation and b) happening of an outcome. There are Decimal Odds, Fractional odds and Moneyline odds. The team knowledge and strategy helps you to win the game of over/under betting. For example there is a domestic cricket match between two teams, you must gather knowledge. The playing style of the team, the minute details of the player, their strong and weak zone should be examined. After that the associate details of the match should also be noted down.

Conclusion

Over/under betting strategy is great for a beginner as it is easy. However, you need to analyze it properly. In all kinds of betting, you must gather enough information before spending lots of money on betting. Know the game, it’s way, pros, and cons, and then jump forward to win the bet. Total bets are in great demand due to it simpler concept and user-friendly software. In fact, not only the professionals but amateurs can also play the game. Therefore, grasp the opportunity and enjoy playing and earning. So, if you are an amateur and want a piece of the betting scene, over/under betting can be a great starting point.

Sign up here at JeeetWin. Place bets on your chosen sports today and apply over/under betting if this fits your sports strategy.

Soccer bettors are increasingly looking for more profitable markets than 1X2, for which a lack of goals or a late equaliser can deny even the best judgments a winning bet. A straightforward way to try and beat the bookies on the soccer front is with the Over/Under goals markets. This article offers a simple step-by-step guide on how to calculate probabilities for the expected number of goals in a match and convert them into odds, so that you know what to bet on and what to avoid.

Step 1: Find the average number of goals per game

In comparison to most sports, scoring in soccer is a less frequent event and it is certainly not uncommon for a match to feature no goals whatsoever. This means that when it comes to betting, bookmakers study the average number of goals scored per match for the two teams involved in the fixture in question when assessing the odds for the Over/Under markets.

If over 2.5 goals for a Premier League match is available with Pinnacle at 1.925 and another bookmaker is offering the same bet at 1.800, you know that you are better off at Pinnacle. However, how you do assess if it is worthwhile betting your money on this market to begin with?

Suitably, the best place to start is with the same method as the bookmakers - by finding the average number of goals per game for the two teams involved in the match you are interested in betting on.

This is generally an easy figure to research online. To provide some detail, here are the average goals per game for several major soccer leagues and competitions during the last three seasons:

As the above table highlights, major soccer leagues and competitions have predominantly averaged between 2.5 and 3 goals per game in recent years, although any given league or competition should be considered on an individual basis. For instance, last season the Hong Kong First Division averaged a massive 4.12 goals per game, whereas the El Salvador Premiera Division only mustered a mere 1.83.

Step 2: Calculate the probabilities

The random nature of goal scoring enables statistics to follow a poisson distribution as a simple predictive model for Over/Under betting. It is important to establish what that means in practice.

In his book Taking Chances, John Haigh drafted a table that calculates the probabilities of a team scoring none, one, two, three or four or more goals based on their average number of goals per game:

For a match where the home team has averaged 1.2 goals per game and the away side have averaged 0.8, it is easy to determine the probability for under 2.5 goals occuring by using the above table.

Firstly, determine the correct scores that will lead to a winning under 2.5 goals bet (0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, and 0-2). You can then find the respective probabilities for each team from the above table and mutiply them together to calculate the probability for each scoreline:

Since we know the individual probabilities of each potential score that can lead to under 2.5 goals occurring, we can add them together to get the overall probability of the match ending in under 2.5 goals and, therefore, a winning under 2.5 goals bet.

In this example, that would be:

Over Under Betting Strategy Nba

13.5% + 16.2% + 10.8% + 12.96% + 9.9% + 4.2% = 67.5%

Step 3: Determine what odds are worth betting on

Once you have established the statistical probability of the match to end in less than 2.5 goals, you are then in a position to determine which odds you should accept.

To convert probability into decimal odds, you use the following simple formula:

In the above example, a 67.56% possibility corresponds to an equation of 100 / 67.56, which equates to decimal odds of 1.48.

This means that you should only bet on under 2.5 goals for a match if you find a bookmaker offering odds of higher than 1.48.

Naturally, this approach does not guarantee a winning bet. However, it does provide an easy to apply betting strategy with positive expected value that should secure profits over a long span of time when aggregrating your long-term losses and profits.

Do this research ahead of any match you are considering placing an Over/Under goals bet on and you can sit back and enjoy the action, knowing that you have put yourself in the best possible position to win your bet.

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Over/under Betting Strategy

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