Who Will Score First
Random Stat: How often does the team that scores first or last in a period/overtime win the game?
Jun 21, 2020 The AICPA just announced the latest CPA exam score release dates for 2020. Find everything you need to be prepared to pass the CPA exam. Print off the 2020 CPA Exam Score Release Schedule here so that you don't miss another score release ever again. New Orleans running back Alvin Kamara is the 5-1 favorite to score the first TD, Saints wideout Michael Thomas is the 6-1 second choice, and Las Vegas running back Josh Jacobs is the 8-1 third pick. Betting on there being goals in the first half of a game is becoming a very popular market for those that bet on football. If the game starts quickly, and there's a goal, you'll be a winner. This page will show you all you need to know about the teams that often score in the first half, or FH, of games. What To Look For.
Q: How about a stat on the correlation between wins and either: a)scoring the first basket of the game or b)the first basket of the fourth quarter...thanks, you guys do a great job.
-- Alan Straus and others
A: An NBA game is a minimum of 48 minutes of action packed excitement (well, there was that one game last season that didn't quite make the full 48...) and with so many possessions and scoring plays we wouldn't expect there to be much to who scores first, with the exception perhaps of overtime periods. Let's go see though!
Who Will Score First In Superbowl 2021
How often a team wins scoring first/last
| Looking at data for the 2005-06 season through March 26th, these are the numbers. With overtimes, we looked at whether the team scoring first/last won the game eventually not whether they won in that specific overtime. |
In some ways then it's a little stronger than you might expect, and interestingly the third quarter is the one where the team that scores first has shown the most connection to winning the game at the end.
If you revisit the Overtime question, and examine how often the team scoring first in the first overtime period wins in that period, then the record shows 45 wins, 22 losses, and 12 ties (head on to a second overtime).
Another related question to this is:
| Q: How often does the team that comes from behind to send the game to overtime end up winning? |
Who Will Score First Touchdown Tonight
If we look at the team that scored last in the fourth quarter (thus being the final 'come from behind team' since leads can go back and forth), they have won 44 of 79 overtime games, good for a mild 56% win rate which given the sample size doesn't suggest momentum plays a big role. In multi-overtime games, the team scoring last in an overtime period to send it on to another OT round, is only 5-9 (36%) and so if we combine the two (scoring last in the fourth quarter/overtime to send it to overtime/another overtime) the 'momentum team' is just 49-44 (53%).
Ultimately since basketball has so many possessions and back and forth scoring, it's not going to be the effect you'd see say in the NFL where the team scoring first and last in a quarter would undoubtedly have a much higher correlation to winning the game.
Do you have an idea for a cool 'random stat' you would like to see? If so, drop us a lineEspn All Scores
Random Stat Archive
How often does bad FT% cost a team a win? (3/24)
Alley Oop Leaders (3/22)
Game Winning Shots (updated 3/17)
Who get called for Traveling? (3/13)
Technical Free Throws (3/10)
Two Way Players (3/08)
Jump Ball winning % (3/07)
'At the Rim' Shots (3/05)
Team Quarter by Quarter results (2/23)
Points per FGA (2/21)
Player Assisted% on FGM (2/15)
Types of Turnovers (2/12)
Goaltending 'Leaders' (2/10)
Shot Clock Studs (2/09)
Team Starter/Bench stats (2/07)
Free Throw shooting home versus away (2/04)
Who gets their shot blocked the most? (2/03)
Plus/Minus stats over the last 30 days (2/02)
What percentage of the time has each team been leading? (2/01)